Численные эксперименты с сопряженной моделью циркуляции океан-Земля-атмосфера и анализ декадной изменчивости ее основных физических характеристик (Наталья Тучкова, ISPRASOPEN-2019)

Короткая ссылка: 20191205BF

Докладчик: Наталья Тучкова

The statistical analysis of the ensemble numerical experiments with the sample about 50 members with the Earth System Model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPIESM) from Hamburg, Germany are carried out The set of 50 initial conditions are selected and the model runs for 30 years started from those conditions. The main model physical caracteristics such as temperature,sea level and ice coverage are investigated. the statistical analysis of their variability is performed.
Also, the most probable trajectories using the statistical ensemble Monte-Carlo scheme are analyzed. The similarity of the model results with the natural tendencies are confirmed. Numerical calculations were carried out on the Lomonosov-2 supercomputer of Lomonosov Moscow State University.In particular the specific properties of the non-linear systems of differential equations are analysed and discussed.